What the two signals are
- Candle streak (colour streak): after N consecutive candles in the same direction, the next trade goes either with the streak (continuation) or against it (reversal). You pick N and the rule; the rest is mechanical.
- Pin bar: a candle with a small body and a long wick. A long lower wick is read as “the market rejected lower prices”, a long upper wick as rejection of higher prices.
Assumption 1: recent direction predicts the next candle
A streak rule assumes momentum or exhaustion — that five green candles make a sixth more or less likely. That is a statistical claim about one pair, one timeframe and the conditions of the minute you trade it. It does not carry over automatically from chart to chart or hour to hour.
The number that matters on Pocket Option: at a 92% payout, break-even needs a 52.1% correct-direction rate. In our large-sample measurements no setting beat that — Martingale measured roughly 43–44%. Honest win rates and break-even explains the line. Treat “the streak works” as a claim to test on demo, not a property of the pattern.
Assumption 2: a candle shape predicts the expiry
Pin-bar reading comes from markets where a rejected wick may say something about nearby price action. A binary option asks something narrower: is price on your side of entry at the chosen expiry? Two identical-looking pin bars entered seconds apart can end differently purely from where entry sat.
The payout sets the line any pattern has to clear: the break-even win rate is 1 / (1 + p), so about 52.1% at a 92% payout, and higher still at lower payouts. That is why a minimum-payout filter and a sensible timeframe matter at least as much as the pattern.
Assumption 3: the recovery strategy funds the losing streak
Most streak traders pair the signal with Martingale — multiply the stake after each loss so one win recovers the run. Martingale maths does not care about the entry signal. In the Avalisa panel, Steps = N allows N + 1 trades in a losing cycle:
- 2x, Steps 5: 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 = 63× the base stake.
- 3x, Steps 5: 1 + 3 + 9 + 27 + 81 + 243 = 364× the base stake.
- At a 2% base stake, a full 3x Steps 5 cycle is 364 × 2% = 728% of the balance — more than the whole account.
The signal decides how often you enter a cycle; the multiplier and Steps decide what each one costs. Work out your own numbers with the Martingale calculator.
How Avalisa PO Bot handles the same decisions
- No streak or pin-bar trading. There is no streak or pin-bar setting.
- Fixed direction in Martingale mode. Direction is Always Buy, Always Sell, or Alternating — not a reaction to a streak.
- A cap you can see. Martingale Steps can be set to a number, so the worst case of a losing cycle is known before you start. When the next stake would exceed the balance, the bot pauses.
- A rule basket instead of one pattern (Pro). Avalisa Bot mode checks four rules and needs a set number to agree: Low 2 of 4, Mid 3 of 4, High all 4. Its only candle check is the last candle’s colour (green for a buy, red for a sell), used as confirmation alongside trend/pullback/RSI rules in trending markets or RSI extreme/Bollinger band/momentum rules in ranging ones. More agreement means stricter entries, not certain direction.
- Payout floor and timeframe. A minimum-payout filter and an explicit timeframe keep entries consistent with the break-even line.
Risk statement
Binary options are high risk, and a system that multiplies stakes after losses can lose more than you expect. In our large-sample measurements no setting has beaten break-even. Use only money you can afford to lose. Trading involves risk. Avalisa does not guarantee profits. Start on a demo account.
Frequently asked questions
Does a longer streak make the signal stronger?
Not automatically. A longer streak is a stricter filter, so you get fewer trades — fewer is not the same as better. Only demo history on your own pair and timeframe can answer it.
Is Martingale the same thing as a streak rule?
No. A streak rule chooses when and which way to enter; Martingale decides the stake after each loss. Either way the multiplier sets the cycle cost, so keep Steps capped.
Why demo first?
The extension places trades the same way on demo and real accounts, so demo history is a fair test of your settings before money is at stake.
Where do I see what happened?
Trade history is built in. Keep the Pocket Option tab visible while the bot runs so results are detected reliably. If something looks wrong, stop, take a screenshot and email avalisapobot@gmail.com.
Test it where mistakes cost nothing
Install Avalisa PO Bot from the Chrome Web Store and run it on a demo account long enough to judge from your own history. The free Demo plan includes 10 Martingale trades; Basic is $69 one-time; Pro is $119 one-time or $29/month (a recurring subscription) — see pricing.